November - The Month of the Away Favorite
Football Betting Lines
11/21/2008 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Wagering on NFL road favorites has always been a risky proposition. Even in Weeks 6 through 8 of the current season, seven of the 11 away betting choices failed to cover the spread, and interestingly enough, every single underdog that provided an ATS victory also won the game outright.
However, a strange twist has recently changed the landscape of home field advantage in professional football, and that's the impressive current run by away favorites. For the first three weeks of November, road betting choices have ripped off 10 against the spread victories in 13 tries for an outstanding 77% winning percentage.
More impressive than that is the fact those numbers are an even better 7-1 and 88% in the last two weeks alone. The only club to fail was the Eagles, who finished in a 13-13 tie with the Bengals as nine-point favorites.
If away favorites were able to turn the tide in November, could the same be said for the home favorites? Not really. In fact, the opposite has occurred, as the road underdogs have ruled the land.
Going back to the same three weeks (6 through 8) that the road betting choices finished 4-7 ATS, home favorites were an even 50% at 15-15. In addition, seven of those preferred 15 teams lost the game outright.
However, the first three weeks of November have been a boon to those bettors who have taken shots against the hometown betting choice.
Week 9 began the turnover process with a 7-2 ATS mark for away underdogs, including four outright road wins. The early games produced a 4-1 record, with the only loss coming in Minnesota where the 5.5-point-favored Vikings knocked off the Texans, 28-21.
The following week was more of the same, as only three of 11 home favorites were able to cover the spread, with another four road underdogs winning straight up. That last number could have been even higher but Seattle, Green Bay and Kansas City all lost SU by a combined four points.
Those that had picked up on this trend prior to this past weekend were licking their chops, as 11 more home teams were favored in Week 11.
The overall numbers dipped from the previous two weeks, but the road underdog still came through in seven of the 11 games played. The onslaught began on Thursday evening when the Jets went into New England as three-point underdogs, only to walk off with the 34-31 victory.
This past Monday provided another easy score as the Browns, who were getting 5.5-points from Buffalo, won the game outright, 29-27. In between, the Broncos, Raiders, Texans, Lions, and Chargers all proved victorious plus the points.
To recap, road underdogs have not only won 11 of the 31 games outright the past three weeks, they've covered 22 of them for a winning percentage of 71%. Not quite at the 77% ATS record of road favorites during the same time span, but still good enough to supplement one's income.
TWO MORE HEAVY UNDERDOGS PREVAIL ATS
While on the subject of underdogs, it's hard not to notice how well double- digit dogs are doing after going two for two last Sunday.
Oakland, a 10-point underdog at Miami, led the Dolphins inside the final minute of play only to see Dan Carpenter win the game for Miami with a 38-yard field goal with 38 seconds left on the clock. Still, a two-point loss is golden when getting 10.
Detroit, a two-touchdown underdog at Carolina, came through with a nine-point defeat in Charlotte. The Panthers needed a missed two-point try by Detroit along with a touchdown of their own inside the final five minutes to secure the straight-up victory.
Double-digit underdogs are now 15-3 ATS for an unheard of winning percentage of 83% after Cincinnati fell to Pittsburgh on Thursday evening. There is still one more opportunity to cash out this Sunday, as San Francisco is a 10-point dog at Dallas.
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Philadelphia Flyers recalled center Jonathon Kalinski from their American Hockey League affiliate, the Philadelphia Phantoms. Kalinski, who could become the fifth Phantom to make hi
<< Wild reassign Schaefer to Houston
St. Paul, MN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Minnesota Wild reassigned goaltender Nolan
Schaefer to the Houston Aeros of the American Hockey League. Schaefer was
recalled Tuesday on an emergency basis and did not play a game with the NHL
club.
<< Nashville reassigns rookie forwards to Milwaukee
Nashville, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Nashville Predators reassigned rookie
forwards Patric Hornqvist and Ryan Jones to the Milwaukee Admirals of the
American Hockey League.
Jones has three goals and three assists in 15 games
<< Penguins loan Cashman to Wheeling
Wilkes-Barre, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins have
loaned defenseman Reid Cashman to their ECHL affiliate, the Wheeling Nailers.
Cashman, 25, appeared in four games with Wilkes-Barre/Scranton this season,
recor
<< AHL announces rescheduled game
Springfield, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The American Hockey League game between the
Springfield Falcons and the Worcester Sharks, originally scheduled for Nov.
15, has been rescheduled for Dec. 10 at the DCU Center in Worcester, Mass, the
league
San Jose, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The San Jose Sharks reassigned goaltender Thomas Greiss to their American Hockey League affiliate, the Worcester Sharks. Greiss, who did not appear in any games with San Jose, has a 4-5-0 record with Worc
Win-Hungry Chiefs, Bills, Face Off at Arrowhead >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A hint of desperation will be in the air at Arrowhead
Stadium, as the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills - two teams in dire need
of a victory - will slug it out in a quest for a long-overdue trip to the left
column of the
Can Redskins Halt Slide In Seattle? >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Back-to-back losses for the first time this year have the
Washington Redskins fading in the NFC playoff picture. Currently holding the
final Wild Card slot in the conference, Washington heads across the country
this weekend t
Lions Look to Catch Bucs Napping >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - With three division games looming in the distance, the
Tampa Bay Buccaneers are doing their best not to look past the Detroit Lions.
With Detroit winless in 10 games this year, that figures to be easier said
then done.
Ta
Romo, Cowboys, Back Home vs. Niners >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - It has been six weeks since fans of the Dallas Cowboys have
watched quarterback Tony Romo take the playing field at Texas Stadium.
Needless to say, his presence in Sunday's Week 12 affair against the San
Francisco 49ers will
Brandon Roy Favorite to Win 2007 NBA Rookie of the Year
Portland TrailBlazer’s guard, Brandon Roy, is MySportsbook.com’s overwhelming favorite to win the NBA Rookie of the Year odds.
Despite missing 20 games due to an injury earlier this season, Roy has definitely put up the best numbers of his 1st year peers. In 32 games, Roy is averaging 15.3 PPG, 4.2 boards and 3.5 assists in over 33 minutes of play per game. While most rookies breakdown as the season progresses (see Morrison), Roy is only getting stronger as his playing time and scoring average has increased each month.
With 30 or so games left in the regular season, Roy isn’t a lock for the award by any means. Other rookies are putting together some pretty impressive campaigns and a few could give Roy a run for the award with increased playing time. Heading the list is first pick, Andrea Bargnani of the Toronto Raptors. Even though he has started only two games all season, Bargnani is averaging 10.3 PPPG while shooting 35% from deep.
Randy Foye of the Minnesota Timberwolves could be set to give Roy the best competition NBA Rookie of the Year betting lines. With the benching of Mike James, Foye looks like he could be the starter in the T-Wolves backcourt for the rest of the season. So far, Foye has averaged 9 PPG and 2.4 assists in just under 21 minutes per game. With his new role of starter, Foye’s numbers will definitely increase. In his first game as the new starting guard this past Sunday, Foye had 10 points; five rebounds and 8 assists. More importantly, he logged 34 minutes of playing time; his third highest run of the season.
Adam Morrison, of the Charlotte Bobcats, was the favorite early on in the season after averaging 15+ PPG through the first month of the season. Ever since his torrid start, Morrison’s point production has declined each month. This really isn’t surprising, considering at 6’8” he only weighs 205 lbs. Obviously he will need to hit the weights big time during the off-season in order to keep from breaking down in the future.
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NFL Football Betting : Odds on NFL Division to Win the Super Bowl
The AFC South and the NFC East are the favorite divisions to have the next Super Bowl champ among them in the NFL betting odds. But more down to the point, these football odds are in favor of the Indianapolis Colts, by far the strongest team in the AFC South, and the Dallas Cowboys of the NFC East.
Most sports fans would agree that these two teams top the list to win it all before the season even begins. In the BetUS Sportsbook football futures, the Colts are +800 in the odds to win the Super Bowl, while the Cowboys are sitting at +1000 and the Super Bowl XLIV champions New Orleans Saints at +900. In the AFC South, the Colts won the division for five straight years after the 2002 realignment, before the Tennessee Titans won it in 2008. But the Colts came back strong in 2009 to win the division again en route to the Super Bowl. The Cowboys are the favorite to win the NFC East, as well as to advance far into the post season. The Cowboys won the division last season before their horrendous loss in the NFC Divisional playoff to Brett Favre and the Minnesota Vikings. But the ‘Boys will take that loss humbly and be ready for the playoffs this time around.
The NFC South is also very strong, at +600 in the NFL futures, considering that it is home to the defending Super Bowl champions. However, some predictions have the Atlanta Falcons with possibilities of claiming the divisional title this season in place of the Saints, as no team has won back-to-back division championships since the division realignment took place. Let’s not overlook the AFC North at +500. As TO goes to Cincinnati to join Chad OchoCinco and Adam “Pac-Man” Jones, this team looks to claim the division title again. And it is likely they will do so. The Bengals lost in the AFC Wild Card spot in a hard-fought battle against the New York Jets last season. Lest not forget the Pittsburgh Steelers, the XLII Super Bowl Champions… All these teams present interesting odds and matchups for the upcoming season, but the safest and surest bet seems to be with the Colts in the AFC South and the Cowboys in the NFC East. Play this weekly NFL Football Contestto see if you can win.
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